Calm Preparation is not panicking. Calm arranging is not “fear” – it helps you help others. Prudence is not fear.
Things could decline rapidly in about 2 to 3 weeks (ie. after March break). It really depends on how much “social distancing” North Americans practice to “flatten the curve” and how aware people are of infection spreading by very low symptomatic people.
If 10% of 50% people (total infection rate?) require hospitalization, that will be huge hit on healthcare.
Soon there will be a place in Ottawa (a hall in arena) for people (particular returning travellers who self-quarantined and experience symptoms). These people are supposed to go to these centres, not the ER!! Medical staff at these halls will have “personal protective gear”. Swab testing results will be back within 5hrs. In USA, tents will be set up.
Presumably, you have calmly already got a bit of extra food and medicines and started “social distancing” and got urgent dental work done (and your Easter hairdo!)
Kids wont get very sick (even less the Influenza A/B).. but more upper middle aged will get sick/very sick (50yos die from COVID-19 sometimes, never from the flu)
I predict many people (and some students) will be sent home by late March for a few weeks. Some high tech companies are already doing it. Coca-Cola is having a total “work at home day” for all employees today to practice for a several week “work at home” soon.
The major poll by the Toronto Star shows people want teachers to accept the 1%/23 offer. Columnist Martin Regg Cohen also says this. Teachers are furious and are attacking the Star and parents on twitter. They don’t want to believe the poll because Nick Kouvalis did it but the Star paid for the poll and designed the questions.
This drop in support is the REAL reason why OSSTF has stopped picketing for next few weeks!
Things like option vs opt out for elearning or 22 vs 23 kids or a raise will seem extremely petty soon as the coronavirus crisis explodes. McGuinty and Wynne (the “education premiers”) have left our healthcare system in terrible shape!!
REPOST: Scientist at AHA webinar presented this "Best Guess Epidemiology" for #COVID19 for 2 months (using conservative numbers – eg doubling time can be ~6.2 days):
They are addressing any computer or internet access issues and working woth local businesses with wifi etc etc.
From Ontario school boards: NOTHING!! If schools are closed for 3 weeks will they do anything or just throw up their hands and say “elearning is not for everyone”?? Are they afraid students will like it too much??
But teachers continue to strike because it is proposed that elearning be opt-out!! Teachers insult parents by believing they won’t come in to the school once in 4 yrs for a quick opt-out mtg. It is really about job protection!!
PPS: Multiple learning styles is totally debunked! No evidence – an “edu fad”
1) Lots of bickering between teachers on Twitter re: OECTA and 1% and Reg 274. Tensions really rising. Not so much “solidarity”
2) We were surprised to see the number of teachers who strongly oppose opt-out for elearning. They DEMAND opt-in. They seem to think parents will be too lazy to opt out (or will like it too much). Insulting to parents and looks unreasonable.
3) I think it may come down to 1%/23 or 0%/22class size. Teachers may be painted into corner, given people realize how much more $$ needed for healthcare (COVID-19 and aging population). Also, looming recession. Also, “strike is not about the pay”. Don’t forget heh govt offered 4% increases for benefits!!!
4) Some schools (not in Canada yet) are planning videoconferencing to kids if schools are closed for 2-3 weeks. This may very well make parents realize how good elearning can be (either in “flipped classrooms” or because of quarantines)
5) are OSSTF and ETFO being more militant to force the “nuclear option” of closing down Catholic school system (as they really want).
6) TCDSB has cancelled all Europe trips. Italy has closed all hosps and schools. Why won’t OCSB cancel trips?
There will be an immediate drop to corporate revenues of all the manufacturing companies who rely on rail. This will effect govt tax revenues. Will a 1% raise now be impossible to give to teachers??
Longer-term, factories will not be built, or expanded. Some factories will close and move to Ohio or Kentucky so they can minimize risk to supply chains.
“Internationally, there are legitimate fears that Canada’s reputation as a reliable supply partner will be damaged. The long-term cost of this to the Canadian economy is hard to quantify, but certainly it’s massive.”
Lost opportunities have real costs both to railways and to the Canadian economy. The economic pain is magnified by the intangible costs to Canada’s reputation as a reliable supplier to world markets. If the flow of products can be interrupted, especially without a healthy lead time, then foreign buyers will protect their interests by buying elsewhere. These are the harsh realities